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US diesel prices fall under $5, easing inflationary pressure

Published24 JUN 26 - 15:59 Reading time  minutes

“Is it a White House win? Yes, from the narrow perspective of prices now versus peak prices in the second quarter. But there’s still a ways to go to get to prewar retail prices.” — Neil Crosby, Head of Research at Sparta Commodities

  • Expert: Neil Crosby (Head of Research, Sparta)
  • Publication: Bloomberg
  • Market Focus: Diesel, Crude Oil, Energy Policy
  • Geographies: US, Gulf Region, Russia

In a recent analysis for Bloomberg, Sparta’s Head of Research, Neil Crosby, notes that the recent diesel decline, while significant from peak levels, has stalled far short of prewar prices. US diesel averages $4.98 per gallon—still 32% above prewar levels—despite White House efforts including Jones Act waivers and Strategic Petroleum Reserve draws. Crosby highlights a critical vulnerability: domestic inventories are at their lowest seasonal levels in decades, leaving the market exposed. Traders should closely monitor Russian export ban developments and inventory trends, as either could quickly reverse recent price gains.

[Read Neil Crosby’s full market commentary in Bloomberg]


About the Author
Neil is a senior oil market analyst specialising in crude oil, refined products, and biofuels, with particular depth in refining economics, fundamental strategy and price modelling. He has held analytical roles at OilX and JBC Energy, and his market intelligence is regularly cited by Reuters, Bloomberg, and the Wall Street Journal.
Connect:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/neilcrosbyuk/https://x.com/NGCanalyst

About Sparta
Sparta is a live, market intelligence and forecasting platform that enables oil traders, refiners, banks, hedge funds and wholesalers to have access to real-time and global actionable insights to capture market opportunities before others.

To find out how Sparta can allow you to make smarter trading decisions, faster, contact us for a demonstration at sales@spartacommodites.com

Author

Neil Crosby

Head of Research

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