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The physical oil squeeze eases for now as buyers back away

Published11 MAY 26 - 11:02 Reading time  minutes

“The physical oil market in general isn’t pricing the catastrophic tightness.” — Neil Crosby, Head of Research at Sparta Commodities

  • Expert: Neil Crosby (Head of Research, Sparta)
  • Publication: Bloomberg
  • Market Focus: Crude Oil, Physical Markets, Refining, Backwardation
  • Geographies: Asia, Middle East, Japan, South Korea, Persian Gulf

In a recent analysis for Bloomberg, Sparta’s Head of Research, Neil Crosby, warns that physical oil prices are not reflecting the underlying tightness still gripping the market — with Asian buyers surviving on the “bare minimum” of crude rather than genuinely easing demand. North Sea grade premiums have plunged up to 90% from their April peak, and Brent CFD spreads have narrowed from $28 to $2.15, creating a misleading picture of supply comfort. Crosby also notes that crude-processing rates in Japan and South Korea are slowly recovering, which will put renewed pressure on physical prices as inventory buffers thin. Traders should watch refinery run rate recovery across Asia and the pace of inventory draws as the key signals for when the next squeeze begins.

[Read Neil Crosby’s full market commentary in Bloomberg]


About the Author
Neil is a senior oil market analyst specialising in crude oil, refined products, and biofuels, with particular depth in refining economics, fundamental strategy and price modelling. He has held analytical roles at OilX and JBC Energy, and his market intelligence is regularly cited by Reuters, Bloomberg, and the Wall Street Journal.
Connect:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/neilcrosbyuk/https://x.com/NGCanalyst

About Sparta
Sparta is a live, market intelligence and forecasting platform that enables oil traders, refiners, banks, hedge funds and wholesalers to have access to real-time and global actionable insights to capture market opportunities before others.

To find out how Sparta can allow you to make smarter trading decisions, faster, contact us for a demonstration at sales@spartacommodites.com

Author

Neil Crosby

Head of Research

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