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Oil prices fall to levels not seen since start of US-Israel war on Iran

Published02 JUL 26 - 07:58 Reading time  minutes

“This is by no means a stable or sustainable situation. Not for the politics, as we can all see. But also not for the state of the oil market itself in terms of supply, demand and trade.” — Neil Crosby, Head of Research at Sparta Commodities

  • Expert: Neil Crosby (Head of Research, Sparta)
  • Publication: Al Jazeera
  • Market Focus: Crude Oil, Brent Benchmark, Supply/Demand Balance, Freight & Hormuz Flows
  • Geographies: Middle East, Strait of Hormuz, Singapore, Global

In a recent analysis for Al Jazeera, Sparta’s Head of Research, Neil Crosby, cautioned that Brent’s slide back below $71 a barrel reflects only “partial conviction” that the US-Israel war on Iran is over, not a stable price floor. With Brent down more than 38 percent from its April peak above $126 and Strait of Hormuz traffic still far below the pre-war level of roughly 130 daily crossings, Crosby flagged that neither the politics nor the oil market’s supply, demand and trade picture has settled. He noted that low prices are likely to draw global crude importers back into the market and clear the glut over time. Traders should watch how quickly stranded barrels clear and whether Hormuz flows normalise before assuming prices hold at pre-war levels.

[Read Neil Crosby’s full market commentary in Bloomberg]


About the Author
Neil is a senior oil market analyst specialising in crude oil, refined products, and biofuels, with particular depth in refining economics, fundamental strategy and price modelling. He has held analytical roles at OilX and JBC Energy, and his market intelligence is regularly cited by Reuters, Bloomberg, and the Wall Street Journal.
Connect: LinkedIn / X


About Sparta
Sparta is a live, market intelligence and forecasting platform that enables oil traders, refiners, banks, hedge funds and wholesalers to have access to real-time and global actionable insights to capture market opportunities before others.

To find out how Sparta can allow you to make smarter trading decisions, faster, contact us for a demonstration at sales@spartacommodites.com

Author

Neil Crosby

Head of Research

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