How Moscow might respond if Trump stops Russian oil to India

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Published01 AUG 25 - 15:12 Reading time minutes

“Indian refiners will still struggle to replace the heavy quality of Russian crude so they may end up paring runs,” said Neil Crosby from Sparta.

Reuters, August 1, 2025 – U.S. President Trump’s demand to halt Russian oil imports to India threatens to cut billions in revenue for Moscow, as India becomes the largest buyer of Russian oil. Sparta Commodities analyst Neil Crosby noted that Russia could retaliate by disrupting the CPC pipeline, which could send oil prices soaring. While India could seek alternative suppliers, the potential loss of 3.5 million barrels/day of supply could tighten the global market and drive prices over $80 per barrel.

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Neil Crosby

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