Weak petchem demand and low pro-naps sends European naphtha to contango

16 October 2025 Time to read:  minutes

 


Commentary summary:

• The European naphtha market has entered a deeper contango due to persistently weak local petrochemical demand.

• Pro-nap levels have collapsed to a 10-year low in Asia for the November contract, worsening global bearish sentiment.

• E/W remains at record highs but fails to stimulate fresh Asian demand for European cargoes.

• The overall market outlook stays bearish into Q4, with deepening contango risk in Europe and potential spillover to Asia.

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Philip Jones-Lux is Senior Analyst for Sparta. Having worked with organisations such as JBC Energy and RP Global, Philip is a seasoned energy market analyst with expertise across the oil barrel and power markets

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