Fundamentals still constructive for late Q2

19 May 2025 Time to read:  minutes

Commentary summary:

• WoS light sweet and sours closed to the East

• Asian buying cycle got off to a very mild start, but strong margins and the end of maintenance should still prove supportive.

• WTI is uncompetitive into both key export markets Europe and Asia.

It was a decent week for those long crude spreads in the end, helped by broader market enthusiasm on tariff pauses etc. We still see fundamentals as constructive going forward but the risk/reward for being long spreads could be relatively poor beyond +60c/b, at least for the time being.

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