Crude spreads take a breather, ready for next market phase

21 July 2025 Time to read:  minutes

Commentary summary:

• New EU sanctions likely to have limited impacted on Russian crude whilst product import bans, in whatever form they take, will come in 2026.

• WTI appears relatively cheap globally still, which should keep WTI/Brent on a narrowing path with Cushing stocks still low and positioning divergent for WTI and Brent.

• Spot MEG and general Dubai market haven’t fallen off a cliff yet.

• Western resid tightness seems to be cooling consistently.

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